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شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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US Army soldiers on patrol in Iraq
Video
Brief Analysis
The War on Jihadism: Lessons from Twenty Years of Counterterrorism
Three French experts survey the evolution of twenty-first-century counterterrorism and assess how the struggles against jihadist and far-right violence need to adapt in the coming years.
۲۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Marc Hecker
  • Elie Tenenbaum
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Islamic State fighters in Iraq
In-Depth Reports
Soldiers of End-Times
Assessing the Military Effectiveness of the Islamic State
The IS military project led not only to the announcement of a “caliphate,” but to the proliferation of jihadist franchises that devastated countries, displaced millions, and killed tens of thousands.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ido Levy
An Egyptian guard inspects bomb damage near the Gaza border in Sinai
Brief Analysis
Egypt’s Counterinsurgency Success in Sinai
The military’s shift to tribal engagement has helped reduce jihadist attacks, but Cairo’s lagging efforts on development and human rights could leave the peninsula open to a future resurgence.
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ido Levy
President Biden and Secretary of State Blinken host the Summit for Democracy. Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Summit for Democracy Skips the Arab World
To address the region’s democracy gap, Washington needs to develop consistent messaging on reform objectives and help its partners focus on achievable goals such as protecting free speech, dissidents, and civil society.
۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Video
Brief Analysis
Popular Protest, Democratic Prospects, and U.S. Policy Dilemmas in the Middle East
Three experts discuss how Washington should shape its regional response to persistent protest movements, economic struggles, and democratic backsliding.
۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Chiraz Arbi
  • Yasir Zaidan
  • Alberto Fernandez
Laurent Nuñez
Video
تحلیل کوتاه
مقابله با تهدیدهای قدیمی و جدید:
دیدگاه فرانسه در مبارزه با تروریسم
یک مقام ارشد اطلاعاتی فرانسه دربارهٔ افراط‌گرایی داخلی، بحران ناشی از توافق امنیتی سه‌جانبهٔ استرالیا، بریتانیا و آمریکا، پیامدهای احتمالی وضعیت افغانستان و دیگر مسائل کلیدی امنیتی بحث می‌کند و بر ضرورت همکاری قوی بین ایالات متحده و فرانسه تأکید می‌کند.
۲۹ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • لورن نوئنز
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Rebel soldiers in Libya during the 2011 revolution. Source: AP
Articles & Testimony
December Elections in Libya Risk a Return to Civil War
Authorities have come too far to risk resuming violence or dividing the country with a rushed, heavily boycotted vote.
۲۱ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ben Fishman
A Middle Eastern migrant with guards at the Belarus/Poland border. Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The EU Migrant Crisis: Options for Border Security and U.S. Interests
Spurred by conflicts in the Middle East, North Africa, and Afghanistan, the migration emergency in Belarus gives Washington an opportunity to foster cooperative agreements and goodwill.
۱۹ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Kenneth R. Rosen
  • Calvin Wilder
A Sudanese protester against military rule
Brief Analysis
In Sudan, the Masks Come Off After a Military Coup
After months of nebulous plotting, the domestic and foreign actors who drove opposition to Hamdok’s reformist government will become more discernible as the generals look for ways to solidify their hold on power.
۲۶ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Alberto Fernandez
Photo of Naftali Bennett and Abdul Fattah al-Sisi meeting in Sharm al-Sheikh.
Brief Analysis
The Bennett-Sisi Meeting: A Rare Chance to Publicly Boost Relations
The welcome visit indicates that Egypt-Israel ties can thrive post-Netanyahu, potentially expanding from the security domain to economic and civil affairs.
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy on the Mediterranean and the Role of PMCs
Although Biden may not see Russia as his top priority, Moscow’s proxy military activities in the Mediterranean are directly aimed at diluting Washington’s leverage in the Middle East, Africa, and Europe.
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
When Tunisians Fired the Start Gun for 9/11
A footnote in one decade of jihadist history can become a major mobilizer for terrorists and foreign fighters in subsequent years, and few cases illustrate this problem better than the Tunisian operatives involved in the 2001 murder of an Afghan rebel leader.
۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Political Uncertainty Deepens in Tunisia
Washington should publicly emphasize the importance of preserving hard-won progress on political pluralism and human rights, while privately conveying that Tunis must return to the constitutional framework in order to receive MCC and IMF funding.
۳۱ اوت ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
  • Grant Rumley
  • Ben Fishman
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Algeria Morocco flags
Articles & Testimony
Algeria-Morocco Rupture:
An Unfunny Comedy of Errors
Algiers likely wanted to deflect attention from challenges at home, but missteps from other actors may have tipped the scales.
۲۷ اوت ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Jihadi Schadenfreude Over al-Nahdah in Tunisia
Whether or not Tunis repeats its past security mistakes, al-Qaeda and the Islamic State may see the president’s destabilizing power move as an opportunity to prod the government’s capabilities.
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia’s Crisis Couldn’t Come at a Worse Time—for Libya
If Libya rushes to elections without resolving its long list of contested constitutional issues, it risks creating a more dangerous form of the legitimacy crisis currently unfolding next door.
۲۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Political Crisis in Tunisia: U.S. Response Options
As the fragile Arab democracy faces its most serious test in nearly a decade, Washington should oppose any unconstitutional centralization of power, urge President Saied to clarify his roadmap for ending the impasse, and consider additional economic and medical assistance.
۲۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Supporting Sudan’s Essential but Risky Progress
Since experiencing major upheaval and demands for change in 2019, the country has achieved real gains in its political transition, but it needs serious American assistance to safely advance the fragile process.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Alberto Fernandez
Brief Analysis
Making Libya’s Berlin Process Work
To break the political deadlock, begin the withdrawal of disruptive foreign forces, and deploy ceasefire monitors, U.S. officials will need to hold some hard conversations with the UN envoy and all of the international and local actors on the ground.
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ben Fishman
  • Anas El Gomati
Articles & Testimony
The Mediterranean Should Be on Joe Biden’s Mind When He Meets Putin
Despite its consistent rhetoric toward Moscow, the administration has not yet demonstrated its strategic understanding that ceding too much operating space to Russia will hurt U.S. efforts to confront China.
۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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